Purple-Erosion
0xe5bd6db81668c0e5f0209b371b7a2b5459a6f03e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$728.98
Total PnL
$-99.05
Realised
$-30.29
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
724 shares @ 78.7¢·now 79.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$574.33
$4.71
- NO
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
40 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
40 shares @ 73.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$32.40
$3.20
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$31.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 23.6¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.98
$-1.86
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.30
$1.90
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
2160 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.12
$-10.80
- YES
Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?
2 shares @ 2.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.70
$1.66
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.25
$-0.25
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?
800 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?$2.10Jul 28, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?$0.74Jul 28, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?$13.20Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?$10.80Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$25.92Jul 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$340.47Jul 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$569.61Jul 28, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$510.68Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$9.52Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.42Jul 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$50.00Jul 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$580.34Jul 28, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$0.02Jul 28, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$0.02Jul 28, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$573.39Jul 28, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$570.38Jul 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$553.25Jul 28, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$15.24Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.00Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$568.26Jul 28, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $135.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.