Bold-Label
0xe5d9ec7083e4b6e72063001d34e73f7771bf4540
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$20.81
Total PnL
$-26.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$3.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Feb 14, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$3.77Feb 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.00Feb 14, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 15?$1.00Feb 14, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?$3.00Feb 14, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?$1.00Feb 14, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?$1.54Feb 1, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28?$1.22Jan 28, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 28?$5.14Jan 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?$1.00Jan 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 1?$1.00Jan 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 1?$2.00Jan 28, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 30?$1.00Jan 28, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?$1.00Jan 27, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 27?$1.11Jan 27, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27?$2.87Jan 27, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 28?$1.00Jan 27, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.