Interesting-Parole
0xe5efb1052a77800bde565502fb98ab9d4d4ba6aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$567.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23504 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-499.98
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
8803 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-219.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Miami address?
3670 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3110 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Lakers
1764 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.41
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
1689 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-387.67
- YES
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?
1611 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
1447 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
971 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
903 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $330.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 02:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.