Hasty-Saucer
0xe60f07a844bd18448eb3b23818f94bec1589f4b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
155
Open notional
$194.1K
Total PnL
$3.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 155- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
6800 shares @ 71.4¢·now 84.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.7K
$868.35
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 69.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.3K
$1.1K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
5290 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.2K
$58.78
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?
5000 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.0K
$93.13
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?
5000 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.0K
$92.50
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
5000 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.0K
$44.77
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 in July?
5000 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.0K
$130.35
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
5000 shares @ 86.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$264.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.6K
$175.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 90.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.6K
$44.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.82Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.67Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$135 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?$535.39Jul 27, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?$412.80Jul 27, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $262.50 Week of July 27 2026?$501.17Jul 27, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 Week of July 27 2026?$715.35Jul 27, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of July 27 2026?$944.62Jul 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of July 27 2026?$266.27Jul 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of July?$59.40Jul 27, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of July?$161.90Jul 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of July?$47.53Jul 27, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of July?$748.85Jul 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of July?$499.95Jul 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 end of July?$60.27Jul 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of July?$29.39Jul 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in July?$303.51Jul 27, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in July?$44.57Jul 27, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in July?$177.01Jul 27, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July?$103.99Jul 27, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in July?$198.85Jul 27, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $398.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.