Big-Hearted-Parcel
0xe618a90c3c76f48fd511d1c669f4f2e8b0637cb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.98
Total PnL
$-118.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
63 shares @ 24.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.13
$-11.88
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.86
$-4.14
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
242 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?
148 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
143 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
22 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$33.28May 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$7.11May 19, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.21May 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.10May 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.06May 8, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRuben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?$10.00Apr 16, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRuben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?$15.00Apr 15, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.11Mar 29, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$15.00Mar 2, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$5.00Mar 2, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$28.48Mar 1, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$6.00Feb 28, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.00Feb 28, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$4.00Feb 9, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$4.00Jan 9, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz drop out by January 6?$1.00Jan 5, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$1.27Nov 10, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$10.00Nov 7, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$64.46Nov 5, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$15.00Nov 4, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $19.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.