Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$20.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 853.8h
- 10:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 854h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).