0xe665f54d3b82c79f1a29c4c327a21c7128dd7d42
0xe665f54d3b82c79f1a29c4c327a21c7128dd7d42
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$95.4K
Total PnL
$100.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
50000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.8K
$2.3K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
25000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.1K
$-1.6K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
13856 shares @ 95.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.1K
$-189.45
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
8907 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.1K
$44.53
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
3965 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$71.37
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
1341 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.3K
$63.68
- NO
No one announced as next James Bond?
5201 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-489.26
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$3.0KJul 20, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer officially leave office by July 17?$1.1KJul 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$47.5KJul 7, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$2.0KJul 7, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping on June 30?$2.5KJul 4, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping on June 29?$3.4KJul 4, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$6.3KJul 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$36.90Jul 2, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.14Jul 2, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$54.00Jul 2, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$46.80Jul 2, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$12.60Jul 2, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$6.62Jul 2, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.04Jul 2, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$7.29Jul 2, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$49.85Jul 2, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.88Jul 2, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$20.00Jul 2, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.04Jul 2, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.35Jul 2, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$69.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 13:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.