Immense-Racer
0xe66c60008f74fc4ca8a704cf64f2adce34eca76c
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$9.64
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-968.65
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$9.64
$1.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?
1425 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?
1326 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
1317 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 8?
820 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
785 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?
724 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-184.57
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 15?
715 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$8.04Jul 3, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$135.14Jul 3, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$135.01Jun 26, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 30?$11.81Jun 26, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.71Jun 26, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$13.21Jun 26, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?$97.96Jun 26, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?$97.66May 31, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.08May 31, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.00May 31, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$1.84May 31, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway$8.43May 31, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$96.18May 31, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$96.00May 30, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$95.88May 30, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$96.01May 30, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway$7.52May 30, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$13.20May 30, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $470?$116.72May 30, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 25 above $470?$116.60May 29, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
33/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $81.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 11:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.