Darling-Lounge
0xe6735942b678f79afc3327c22ce37244ae8db3d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$29.13
Total PnL
$-647.55
Realised
$-45.29
Win rate
0%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
550 shares @ 5.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$16.77
$-13.10
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
321 shares @ 6.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.36
$-7.22
- YES
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
287 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-78.80
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals
95 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-24.65
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
90 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?
88 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?
88 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
85 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goals
82 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
37 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $22.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.