0xe67c3cdc37ce33291809fa7f5e481105065033f2
0xe67c3cdc37ce33291809fa7f5e481105065033f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
148 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$148.39
$10.39
- NO
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
114 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$113.64
$63.64
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
106 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$105.63
$30.63
- MAX HOLLOWAY
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
89 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$88.57
$26.57
- YES
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
81 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$81.48
$15.48
- NO
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
80 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$80.23
$11.23
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
73 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$72.58
$27.58
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
64 shares @ 86.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.60
$8.60
- NO
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
62 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$62.16
$16.16
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.24
$10.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMLes Wexner charged by June 30?$67.16Jul 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$70.51Jul 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$79.31Jul 1, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$96.43Jun 30, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.39Jun 29, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104.88Jun 28, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$57.14Jun 27, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$85.42Jun 27, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.20Jun 27, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90.29Jun 27, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$192.16Jun 27, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$88.71Jun 26, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$177.50Jun 26, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$190.77Jun 26, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$145.45Jun 26, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.06Jun 25, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.43Jun 25, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$32.75Jun 25, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$75.00Jun 25, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$257.01Jun 24, 02:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $36.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.