Hard-Machinery
0xe685c74908f404d7c2a83f67b52eacbad7a651ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$38.34
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
102 shares @ 57.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.06
$-29.08
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.00
$2.80
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8552 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.28
$-12.83
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 22?
7975 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.98
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on February 10?
4874 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.87
- YES
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?
4163 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 7?
3975 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.97
- YES
Arsenal wins the Premier League?
10 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.68
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
7 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.01
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?$2.2KMay 14, 08:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".