Prize-Retirement
0xe6b121e19c1c8ee3151fbe89a55729ab4cba0be3
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$11.81
Total PnL
$-19.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.00Jun 17, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.00May 17, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYObama arrested before 2027?$3.98May 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$4.00May 17, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$4.42May 13, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEM25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?$0.00Apr 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMPam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?$0.00Apr 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on September 26?$0.00Apr 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$0.00Apr 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?$0.00Apr 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$0.00Apr 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced by September 30?$0.00Apr 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump end Department of Education in 2025?$0.00Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release more Epstein files before August?$0.00Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYObama arrested before 2027?$22.00Jan 12, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$2.50Jan 7, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?$1.00Jan 7, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.