Knowing-Stability
0xe6d800b1931a9194c7e52f1b9c39d6325e7ae6af
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$148.07
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$7.24
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
1260 shares @ 15.3¢·now 11.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$148.07
$-45.47
- YES
Will 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?
3571 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-123.21
- NO
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
2723 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-671.89
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on November 18?
849 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-225.56
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?
834 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
281 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-115.11
- NO
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?
170 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-101.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?
100 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-53.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: November
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.20May 27, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$38.77May 26, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$50.58May 26, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$4.62May 26, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$34.42May 26, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$1.33May 26, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$4.59May 26, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$3.06May 26, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$4.59May 26, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$45.90May 23, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$2.83May 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.96May 14, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$1.46May 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$5.16May 14, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$1.06May 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$36.85Mar 24, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $1B one day after launch?$52.26Mar 24, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$63.20Mar 24, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$12.00Jan 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$12.00Jan 14, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $91.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".