Harmful-Philosopher
0xe6d843435c9627d8243ec0582f0dc86f2a2f3484
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
166
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$521.26
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- NO
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
3508 shares @ 70.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$248.10
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
709 shares @ 87.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$689.37
$67.87
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?
374 shares @ 87.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$357.62
$31.13
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
762 shares @ 27.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$285.75
$79.71
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
300 shares @ 61.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$199.50
$16.50
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
219 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.08
$24.09
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$194.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
173 shares @ 86.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$165.03
$14.78
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 43.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$87.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
330 shares @ 16.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.93
$-45.87
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $129.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.