Easy-Koala
0xe6fd18067d9b8768ee4dc45e926cf54867288bc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$8.5K
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$2.4K
Win rate
96%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1326 shares @ 77.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-10.07
- NO
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
850 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$782.52
$-6.55
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
1035 shares @ 67.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$781.75
$88.01
- NO
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
804 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$703.24
$68.31
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
622 shares @ 63.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$578.31
$181.39
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$525.01
$45.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
734 shares @ 67.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$473.44
$-18.35
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
564 shares @ 67.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$414.53
$36.66
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
1087 shares @ 43.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$407.44
$-66.78
- YES
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
800 shares @ 45.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$376.00
$16.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$21.41Jul 27, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $11.16Jul 27, 03:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$10.43Jul 26, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$9.48Jul 26, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$8.53Jul 26, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$5.02Jul 26, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$4.93Jul 26, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$6.47Jul 26, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$6.61Jul 26, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$2.15Jul 26, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$2.30Jul 26, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$2.11Jul 26, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$2.46Jul 26, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$4.27Jul 26, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$6.77Jul 26, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$2.67Jul 26, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$4.94Jul 26, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $35.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.