United-Credential
0xe70ed1d45d62be9bd5e8660194d474b2ec0db541
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$30.31
Total PnL
$-507.63
Realised
$48.60
Win rate
85%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.50
$0.90
- NO
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
19 shares @ 40.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.81
$4.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
90 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-57.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
60 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-27.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
50 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- CINCINNATI REDS
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
50 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-28.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
30 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
30 shares @ 98.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-29.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
30 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-12.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
30 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?$1.26Jul 5, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$10.00Jun 2, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?$18.40May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$18.93May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$74.25May 23, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.15May 21, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Uncle" or "Unc" this week?$10.00May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$0.73May 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Brazil" on Truth Social this week?$8.80May 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$9.83May 14, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$10.00May 14, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$8.50May 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$4.59May 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$5.06May 14, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$3.00May 14, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$1.00May 14, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$9.10May 14, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?$5.70May 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$9.40May 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$18.68May 14, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.