Calculating-Plugin
0xe71d94b0c62faafdc88e744c96ad82c1646b7359
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$413.95
Total PnL
$-508.84
Realised
$3.84
Win rate
47%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
16 shares @ 94.2¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$15.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$14.92
$-0.08
- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 93.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.62
$0.36
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.49
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
11 shares @ 65.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.42
$3.17
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.30
$1.30
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.8¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.19
$0.43
- NO
SBF released from custody in 2026?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.94
$0.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$11.76Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$15.96Jun 13, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13?$5.15Jun 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$5.12Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13?$5.01Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$8.05Jun 13, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?$7.73Jun 13, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$8.35Jun 13, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$5.03Jun 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$10.04Jun 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$5.01Jun 13, 05:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12?$12.50Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12?$5.38Jun 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$6.90Jun 12, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$7.07Jun 12, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$7.14Jun 12, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12?$10.14Jun 12, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$160.7K
Trades
22
Buy share
50%
Window
May 19, 05:20 UTC → May 31, 06:05 UTC
- BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$6.6K@100¢May 31, 06:05 UTC
- SELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$6.7K@100¢May 31, 06:04 UTC
- BUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$6.7K@100¢May 31, 06:03 UTC
- SELLWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$6.8K@100¢May 31, 06:03 UTC
- SELLWill Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$6.7K@100¢May 30, 05:34 UTC
- SELLWill Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$7.0K@100¢May 29, 03:38 UTC
- BUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7.1K@99¢May 28, 04:30 UTC
- BUYWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$6.9K@100¢May 28, 04:25 UTC
- SELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$7.3K@100¢May 27, 04:06 UTC
- BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$7.3K@100¢May 27, 04:06 UTC
- SELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$7.2K@100¢May 27, 04:04 UTC
- BUYWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.6K@100¢May 25, 15:07 UTC
- SELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.6K@100¢May 25, 07:06 UTC
- SELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.0K@100¢May 25, 04:16 UTC
- BUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.0K@100¢May 25, 04:16 UTC
- BUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$7.8K@100¢May 24, 05:12 UTC
- SELLWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.9K@100¢May 24, 05:05 UTC
- SELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$7.6K@100¢May 23, 03:15 UTC
- BUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$7.6K@100¢May 23, 03:15 UTC
- SELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$8.2K@100¢May 20, 04:26 UTC
- BUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$8.2K@100¢May 20, 04:26 UTC
- BUYWill Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.9K@100¢May 19, 05:17 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$160.7K
22 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
medium
22 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
$16.4K · 10% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.