Messy-Alcove
0xe734d5a008576905ec700019e530a7cc8da88f6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$-7.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
8657 shares @ 86.6¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.6K
$123.28
- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
459 shares @ 37.5¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$165.42
$-6.93
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 89.8¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$93.25
$3.45
- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.00
$2.00
- NO
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
458 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.89
$-266.33
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
121 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.03
$-98.19
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Kings
10162 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.8K
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
444 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-186.43
- YES
Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?
203 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$7.35May 18, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$15.15May 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$4.4KMay 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$3.2KMay 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$5.05May 16, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics$0.00May 15, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$10.00May 15, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox$10.00May 15, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox$10.00May 15, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics$10.00May 14, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics$4.80May 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$3.80May 14, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox$5.00May 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$4.00May 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$3.80May 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$4.50May 14, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers$4.20May 14, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox$4.50May 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins$4.60May 14, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. New York Mets$3.90May 14, 05:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $282.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".