Lavish-Geology
0xe741faf8c6ff1791c0c9aafc1578a4f35dc7ec28
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$338.08
Total PnL
$-13.45
Realised
$-1.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$102.08
$2.08
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.27
$0.27
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
112 shares @ 26.7¢·now 26.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
64 shares @ 38.8¢·now 38.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.95
$-0.04
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
39 shares @ 77.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.74
$-5.26
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$19.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?
8 shares @ 85.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$6.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$30.381h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?$20.121h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$30.001h ago
- TRADESELLCanadiens vs. Lightning$16.371h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$50.003h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$40.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$30.883h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$1.033h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$50.003h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$50.003h ago
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$26.323h ago
- TRADESELLRaptors vs. Cavaliers$5.693h ago
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down on April 30?$10.973h ago
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$25.093h ago
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 29, 8PM ET$8.063h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$53.963h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$2.853h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$40.353h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$6.063h ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$5.073h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.