0xe7484a257a6470db6721d6abb0ad61ed7f26bc49
0xe7484a257a6470db6721d6abb0ad61ed7f26bc49
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$15.59
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$2.81
Win rate
50%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- ICI JAPON CORP. ESPORT
LoL: Galions vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
23 shares @ 19.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.90
$0.57
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
34 shares @ 5.4¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.84
$3.02
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 26.7¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.44
$-1.54
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
52 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.42
$0.24
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- NO
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
110 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- 76ERS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers
108 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?
105 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- KIWOOM DRX
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills?
95 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.