Required-Pasta
0xe7510adcb4c5cfacc198056dff8af39ea7a25a2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$575.41
Total PnL
$-86.71
Realised
$17.12
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- NO
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
36 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.48
$0.56
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.45
$-0.55
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
25 shares @ 52.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.30
$1.14
- NO
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$13.48
$3.10
- NO
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
12 shares @ 70.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.04
$3.54
- NO
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
13 shares @ 72.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$11.29
$1.73
- NO
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
11 shares @ 72.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 3, 2026$11.04
$3.04
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?
15 shares @ 53.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$10.71
$2.72
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?
17 shares @ 46.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.61
$2.61
- NO
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
11 shares @ 72.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.50
$2.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.