PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Probability

24¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$4.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+2.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:42
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 24¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1564h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 14.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1564.3h

    LOW
  • 19:42Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1564h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 25¢.

Biggest hourly move: +9.0pp at 1d ago (to 29¢).

Show all 38 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 12:00 · +4.0pp → 25¢
  • 06:00 · +3.5pp → 27¢
  • 05:00 · +4.5pp → 26¢
  • 03:00 · +6.0pp → 28¢
  • 00:00 · +4.0pp → 26¢
  • 23:00 · +7.0pp → 28¢
  • 20:00 · +4.0pp → 25¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 25¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 28¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 28¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 28¢
  • 1d ago · +4.5pp → 27¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 27¢
  • 1d ago · +8.5pp → 28¢
  • 1d ago · +9.0pp → 29¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 25¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 24¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 29¢
  • 3d ago · +3.5pp → 25¢
  • 3d ago · +3.5pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · +3.5pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · +3.0pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · +3.5pp → 23¢
  • 3d ago · -3.0pp → 21¢
  • 4d ago · -3.0pp → 21¢
  • 4d ago · -5.0pp → 19¢
  • 4d ago · -3.5pp → 23¢
  • 4d ago · -3.5pp → 18¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventColorado Governor Republican Primary Winner
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
natoOfficial government sourceextracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
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