Posh-Origin
0xe758cc053c05618d9376a3ae7fccf284a67507aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$16.97
Total PnL
$-20.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 89.6¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.13
$0.13
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
2 shares @ 88.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.22
$0.22
- NO
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.02
$0.02
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.76
$-0.24
- NO
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
China coup attempt before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?$2.00Apr 8, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$1.04Apr 8, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$1.06Apr 8, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu arrested by March 31?$2.02Apr 8, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 23?$5.00Apr 8, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$12.21Apr 8, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.58Apr 6, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 23?$5.00Mar 23, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.11Mar 23, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?$29.72Mar 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 17?$15.00Mar 16, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?$31.74Mar 16, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?$26.78Mar 16, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 16?$5.10Mar 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 17?$1.00Mar 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 17?$2.00Mar 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?$1.00Mar 16, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?$30.00Mar 16, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 16?$5.00Mar 16, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 16?$1.00Mar 15, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.