Profitable-Resemblance
0xe770e56227f94a66b458f8d2fc9e310acb89daf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$57.28
Total PnL
$-724.47
Realised
$-15.67
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- YES
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
80 shares @ 33.3¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$22.07
$-4.67
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.08
$4.08
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.43
$4.43
- YES
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$8.74
$-1.27
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.82
$-0.17
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.76
$-4.24
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
2643 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$27.45Jun 2, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$9.63Jun 2, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$20.20Jun 2, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$2.11Apr 1, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$1.00Apr 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$1.00Apr 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Mar 16, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5AM ET$15.00Mar 16, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$5.00Mar 16, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" this week? (March 22)$10.00Mar 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Women's Sports" this week? (March 22)$5.00Mar 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drone" this week? (March 22)$5.00Mar 16, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hat" this week? (March 15)$39.91Mar 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.00Mar 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$5.00Mar 10, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00Mar 10, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$9.84Mar 10, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.00Mar 10, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$25.99Mar 10, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.91Mar 10, 09:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 11:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".