Handmade-Colonization
0xe7970ed8a2b80e3f1fefe68f83829f11197a8a2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$61.66
Total PnL
$-21.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
33 shares @ 94.8¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
12 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$11.31
$0.31
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.65
$0.65
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by June 30, 2027?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$3.58
$-1.42
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.44
$-4.56
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
41 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$22.10Jun 2, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$10.00May 25, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by June 30, 2027?$5.05May 25, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$10.00May 25, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?$11.01May 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$5.00May 22, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?$10.00May 22, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$10.00May 22, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$10.00May 22, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$10.03May 8, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$1.00Mar 19, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$15.00Feb 28, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.68Feb 18, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?$1.00Feb 10, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.40Feb 10, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.00Feb 7, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$5.52Feb 7, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by January 31?$10.31Jan 19, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by January 31?$9.00Jan 16, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".