0xe79f520572509d5fafdf9ef773c52201eda3bbe9
0xe79f520572509d5fafdf9ef773c52201eda3bbe9
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$78.70
Total PnL
$11.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NOVAK DJOKOVIC
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzak
19 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$19.00
$3.99
- NO
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
13 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$12.90
$6.97
- YES
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
11 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$11.10
$2.00
- ARYNA SABALENKA
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko
10 shares @ 76.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$10.30
$2.38
- DANIIL MEDVEDEV
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$9.90
$2.57
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
9 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.50
$2.04
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
7 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.00
$0.91
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
37 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- HUBERT HURKACZ
BNP Paribas Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
31 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- MADISON BRENGLE
Miami Open, Qualification: Madison Brengle vs Linda Fruhvirtova
23 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$4.28Apr 12, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$4.25Apr 10, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.61Apr 8, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.20Apr 8, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6.22Apr 5, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$2.19Apr 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettini$3.10Mar 20, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettini$2.85Mar 20, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettini$0.54Mar 20, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinn$0.20Mar 20, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinn$6.80Mar 20, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinn$5.78Mar 20, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$7.23Mar 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$2.76Mar 20, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$0.51Mar 20, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.18Mar 20, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$4.17Mar 20, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.72Mar 20, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.38Mar 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.74Mar 19, 05:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.