Dearest-Caviar
0xe7abddbe7f38730b5272663f41dbfbb8b48db9a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-181.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$983.50
$483.50
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
1400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$790.86
$90.86
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
1400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$609.00
$-91.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$302.56
$-17.44
- NO
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
163 shares @ 89.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$152.39
$5.80
- NO
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
88 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.93
$7.89
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$62.50
$12.50
- NO
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
53 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$52.81
$-0.08
- NO
Will Podemos (PODEMOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
50 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$49.92
$0.13
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.50
$-483.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.21Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.74Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$30.06Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$96.24Jul 23, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$33.00Jul 23, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$0.66Jul 23, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$1.00Jul 23, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$14.79Jul 23, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$2.06Jul 23, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$81.81Jul 23, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$96.86Jul 23, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$143.18Jul 23, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$13.49Jul 23, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$60.00Jul 23, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$261.00Jul 23, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $64.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 09:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.