Pretty-Saxophone
0xe7fe17248aab26ed24935921fb81bf0a452624e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-479.68
Win rate
46%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
1658 shares @ 49.9¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$671.40
$-155.15
- YES
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?
689 shares @ 58.9¢·now 65.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$451.34
$45.69
- NO
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
558 shares @ 41.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$448.83
$219.11
- YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
332 shares @ 47.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$282.59
$124.71
- YES
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
438 shares @ 29.7¢·now 47.6¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$208.70
$78.34
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
317 shares @ 57.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$185.37
$3.12
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
272 shares @ 54.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$170.00
$23.12
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
244 shares @ 36.7¢·now 57.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$140.48
$50.84
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
830 shares @ 11.6¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$128.65
$32.75
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
266 shares @ 69.8¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$126.56
$-59.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.67Aug 6, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.60Aug 6, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.60Aug 6, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$4.80Aug 6, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$6.40Aug 6, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Thun vs. KF Víkingur: KF Víkingur O/U 0.5 AND Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?$65.00Aug 6, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMH Beitar Jerusalem vs. FK Austria Wien: Both Teams to Score AND Will FK Partizan Beograd win on 2026-08-06?$65.00Aug 6, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$32.07Aug 6, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$7.80Aug 6, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$3.02Aug 5, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5 AND Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-05?$75.00Aug 5, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?$373.00Aug 5, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?$376.14Aug 5, 05:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 5, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?$10.40Aug 4, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?$20.80Aug 4, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.60Aug 4, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYShamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5 AND Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?$75.00Aug 4, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Score AND PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5$75.00Aug 4, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
48 closed markets, 46% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $28.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.