Pretty-Saxophone
0xe7fe17248aab26ed24935921fb81bf0a452624e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$2.4K
Realised
$3.4K
Win rate
40%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- NO
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?
1337 shares @ 55.3¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.1K
$356.63
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
1575 shares @ 30.2¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$619.45
- YES
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
963 shares @ 70.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$751.02
$76.80
- NO
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
914 shares @ 46.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$671.82
$251.15
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
1255 shares @ 46.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$583.72
$2.84
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
474 shares @ 52.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$424.20
$175.41
- NO
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
421 shares @ 54.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$208.37
$-20.82
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
350 shares @ 37.1¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$180.28
$50.31
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
332 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$164.16
$-5.12
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
1132 shares @ 15.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$152.85
$-22.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$11.78Jun 19, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$30.36Jun 19, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$2.00Jun 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$27.04Jun 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$1.96Jun 19, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$62.00Jun 19, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$2.63Jun 19, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leon Goretzka join Chicago Fire?$1.51Jun 19, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 10% or more?$4.80Jun 19, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?$27.00Jun 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?$7.41Jun 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?$2.94Jun 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?$5.10Jun 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?$3.30Jun 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?$11.11Jun 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?$2.09Jun 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?$3.12Jun 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?$8.67Jun 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?$3.23Jun 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?$2.47Jun 19, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
35 closed markets, 40% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $25.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.