Wicked-Degradation
0xe804bc963c4b89c9c280b14ad25b2a2bf078b070
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-153.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?
800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 17?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 7?
747 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12?
738 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 17?
613 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 7?
607 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 12?
588 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 2-8?
567 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 31?
515 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 July 13-19?$91.18Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 3.5$8.89Jul 18, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 July 13-19?$91.01Jul 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 3.5$4.11Jul 18, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in June?$95.19Jun 30, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in June?$95.01Jun 30, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of June 8 2026?$95.19Jun 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of June 8 2026?$95.01Jun 12, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$95.43Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$95.33Jun 1, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$8.43Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.50Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$14.73Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$78.53Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$78.45May 31, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 44°C or higher on May 30?$14.36May 31, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$64.08May 31, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$63.96May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$63.92May 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$64.00May 30, 08:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $78.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 06:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.