Ignorant-Sponsorship
0xe821d597d53bb282e03bcc63fde018c8f6b9b27e
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$13.8K
Total PnL
$-193.56
Realised
$613.56
Win rate
64%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
6936 shares @ 1.8¢·now 13.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$953.69
$826.52
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
14698 shares @ 6.5¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$903.90
$-48.18
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
12940 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$769.90
$-10.61
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
28543 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$627.94
$-48.49
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
3745 shares @ 15.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$580.50
$-0.57
- YES
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
65111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$488.33
$-87.70
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5253 shares @ 9.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$446.49
$-49.57
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
22762 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$443.85
$-66.74
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
15853 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$435.95
$-120.67
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
21138 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$433.33
$-19.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.02Jun 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.14Jun 15, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.05Jun 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.04Jun 15, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.05Jun 15, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.04Jun 15, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.05Jun 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.04Jun 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.05Jun 15, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.05Jun 15, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.13Jun 15, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.64Jun 15, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.04Jun 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.04Jun 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.65Jun 15, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.05Jun 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.05Jun 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10Jun 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.08Jun 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.37Jun 15, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 18:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.