Muted-Cicada
0xe82473a3e1ade390416d1ddc921966cbc15fcf0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$818.49
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-3.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
632 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$356.78
$-3.22
- YES
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
714 shares @ 35.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$225.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
288 shares @ 34.7¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$113.76
$13.76
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
532 shares @ 9.4¢·now 11.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$63.56
$13.56
- YES
Arda Güler: 1+ assists
106 shares @ 47.1¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$59.39
$9.39
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
9273 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
1996 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-211.00
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
1140 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-04?
752 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-159.14
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?
727 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArda Güler: 1+ assists$50.79Jun 14, 03:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$108.70Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMChristian Pulisic: 3+ shots$113.97Jun 13, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$263.35Jun 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?$20.52Jun 13, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?$0.02Jun 13, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?$42.48Jun 13, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYChristian Pulisic: 3+ shots$50.84Jun 13, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?$30.79Jun 13, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$50.81Jun 12, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$311.53Jun 12, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMLee Kangin: 1+ assists$213.02Jun 12, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Kangin: 1+ assists$40.97Jun 12, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$102.04Jun 12, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMJulián Quiñones: 1+ goals$114.29Jun 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYJulián Quiñones: 1+ goals$40.78Jun 11, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5$30.49Jun 11, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $99.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 01:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.