Alarmed-Genie
0xe8352d31fab2d0f3ffa4280e7beab3b2956dcd50
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-437.47
Realised
$21.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3771 shares @ 10.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$424.23
$35.45
- YES
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
917 shares @ 26.2¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$320.83
$80.83
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3300 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$318.45
$-45.45
- YES
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1018 shares @ 23.6¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$223.86
$-16.14
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
222 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$56.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 38.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$46.75
$21.75
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1269 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.21
$-8.79
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.45
$5.45
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
228 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$61.31Jun 14, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$411.00Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$131.68Jun 14, 03:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Scotland (-1.5)$39.71Jun 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$13.38Jun 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$13.42Jun 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$248.43Jun 13, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$158.54Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$8.32Jun 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$65.30Jun 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$9.00Jun 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$60.07Jun 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$60.76Jun 12, 01:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5$340.00Jun 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5$243.50Jun 11, 01:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $91.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.