Focused-Saint
0xe87e5e8dc4780110e9b23370fef7c78447f54f70
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$419.48
Win rate
82%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
2340 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.2K
$-23.40
- NO
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
897 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$897.00
$107.64
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?
864 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$864.00
$336.96
- MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN EVANGELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
1433 shares @ 14.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$716.50
$515.88
- NO
Will Trump say "Sucker" or "Loser" this week? (April 19)
710 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$710.00
$440.20
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
978 shares @ 66.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$630.81
$-14.67
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
385 shares @ 60.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$282.98
$51.98
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
549 shares @ 34.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$145.49
$-41.17
- NO
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
52 shares @ 59.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$16.64
$-14.04
- NO
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 61.0¢·now 88.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.29
$1.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$287.82Apr 21, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North West release an album by December 31?$618.00Apr 21, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North West release an album by December 31?$13.86Apr 21, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?$461.55Apr 21, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?$30.60Apr 21, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$61.41Apr 21, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$198.56Apr 21, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$509.95Apr 21, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$182.92Apr 21, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$70.72Apr 21, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$193.12Apr 21, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$60.83Apr 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$390.61Apr 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$60.83Apr 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?$527.04Apr 13, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?$569.35Apr 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$789.36Apr 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$282.49Apr 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "AG" or "Attorney General" this week on Truth Social?$297.60Apr 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLApplied Intuition IPO before 2027?$5.70Apr 13, 04:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $246.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 06:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.