Ready-Cage
0xe88bf2f3a827a110eada37c59419b109bc07f99f
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$462.61
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
1582 shares @ 72.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.0K
$-126.51
- YES
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
206 shares @ 56.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$91.50
$-24.71
- YES
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
227 shares @ 42.8¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$81.71
$-15.48
- YES
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
37 shares @ 32.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$13.82
$1.87
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
3333 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.33
$-158.32
- NO
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 59.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.38
$1.39
- YES
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.14
$-0.06
- YES
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.13
$-0.03
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$300.00Jul 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$19.91Jul 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$16.74Jul 19, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$101.91Jul 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$50.95Jul 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$101.91Jul 19, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$50.95Jul 19, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$98.50Jul 19, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$99.99Jul 14, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$193.97Jul 12, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$53.44Jul 12, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$5.35Jul 12, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$5.63Jul 12, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$0.67Jul 12, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$6.39Jul 12, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$6.51Jul 12, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$99.26Jul 11, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$64.38Jul 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$132.50Jul 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$15.12Jul 11, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $68.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 09:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.