Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Probability
13¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$10.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $10.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14732.1h
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 14¢.
Biggest hourly move: -3.5pp at 2d ago (to 12¢).
Show 8 hourly moves
- 01:00 · -3.0pp → 13¢
- 23:00 · -3.0pp → 13¢
- 20:00 · -3.0pp → 13¢
- 18:00 · -3.0pp → 13¢
- 17:00 · -3.0pp → 13¢
- 16:00 · -3.5pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 12¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 16¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
13- 24¢-2.0pp
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 32¢-2.5pp
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $16.00
- 13¢0.0pp
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $52.00
- 62¢+1.0pp
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $685.00
- 56¢+0.5pp
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $6.00
- 41¢0.0pp
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $5.00
- 27¢-1.5pp
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $8.00
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $436.6K
- 36¢-0.9pp
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $367.6K
- 11¢+0.1pp
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $263.6K
- 12¢+1.4pp
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $256.5K
- 56¢+2.0pp
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?
Other · Vol $236.5K
- 30¢+25.7pp
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Other · Vol $222.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryusing the total token supply multiplied by the token priceLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.