Itchy-Chives
0xe8b633e8da05994ecacd6dc3342a8f8fd7b0ec62
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$16.32
Total PnL
$-88.10
Realised
$1.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
107 shares @ 9.3¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.58
$-1.42
- YES
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$-2.00
- YES
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
228 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.82
$-8.17
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.78
$-8.22
- YES
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.31
$-8.69
- YES
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
18 shares @ 9.6¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.60
$-1.10
- YES
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
443 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$23.52Jun 10, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Pope" or "Leo" on Truth Social this week?$36.84Jun 10, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 19?$0.00Apr 20, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 17?$0.00Apr 20, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$5.00Apr 19, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 17?$1.00Apr 19, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$4.00Apr 19, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 19?$1.00Apr 19, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?$5.00Apr 19, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Pope" or "Leo" on Truth Social this week?$28.00Apr 19, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$1.00Apr 19, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1.00Apr 19, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 19, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$5.00Apr 19, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$1.00Apr 19, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 19?$1.00Apr 19, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in April?$7.15Apr 19, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.38Apr 19, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 18, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.