Will Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in April?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$1.08
Liquidity
$11.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-38.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 101h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $11.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 101.0h
- 18:59SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 101h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 9¢.
Biggest hourly move: -13.5pp at 2d ago (to 14¢).
Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:58 · -7.5pp → 9¢
- 17:00 · -4.5pp → 12¢
- 15:00 · -5.0pp → 12¢
- 14:00 · -8.0pp → 11¢
- 12:00 · -6.5pp → 12¢
- 11:00 · -9.5pp → 11¢
- 09:00 · -5.0pp → 14¢
- 08:00 · -4.5pp → 14¢
- 06:00 · -6.5pp → 12¢
- 05:00 · -5.5pp → 11¢
- 02:00 · -7.0pp → 11¢
- 00:00 · -10.0pp → 10¢
- 23:00 · -9.0pp → 12¢
- 21:00 · -8.0pp → 10¢
- 20:00 · -8.0pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 10¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 10¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 10¢
- 1d ago · -7.0pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -5.5pp → 10¢
- 1d ago · -5.5pp → 10¢
- 1d ago · -13.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.