Frigid-Laparoscope
0xe8c49b24c5d1eb6f93af35475c2635bb2b170d90
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$96.06
Total PnL
$-9.0K
Realised
$237.86
Win rate
86%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
234 shares @ 51.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.94
$-78.38
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 26.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.31
$7.63
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.80
$-10.20
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Heat
2000 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-589.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1AM ET
2000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-399.99
- SOUTH KOREA
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Korea
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Hawks
1000 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-189.80
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Kings
1000 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-328.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Clippers
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.