Determined-Paranoia
0xe8de6aed2257ae03781a18d21a4fb057dbf655d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$7.86
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.58
$0.32
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.17
$-0.04
- YES
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 22?
3098 shares @ 99.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 7AM ET
760 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-19.60
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 7AM ET
600 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 8AM ET
500 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-65.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 1AM ET
400 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 3AM ET
350 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-311.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 6AM ET
300 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?$1.10May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.22May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.27May 18, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$1.17May 18, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.66May 18, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$4.22May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$1.10Mar 9, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.50Mar 9, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$4.20Mar 9, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.41Mar 9, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$10.54Mar 9, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.40Feb 5, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.20Feb 5, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$10.50Feb 5, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?$1.33Feb 5, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.95Feb 5, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 29-January 4?$3.58Feb 5, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?$1.30Jan 2, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.80Jan 2, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 29-January 4?$3.57Jan 2, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $534.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".