Subtle-Carbon
0xe8e0d6ceeef96056bc829724454ae6b7a2d94736
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$986.74
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$2.71
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
400 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$392.00
$7.20
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
227 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$210.23
$10.23
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.63
$3.63
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
105 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.69
$1.29
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
103 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$72.26
$-0.51
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
31 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.78
$-0.23
- YES
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
103 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.06
$-0.51
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
10 shares @ 90.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$9.80
$0.76
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.10
$0.60
- YES
ECB rate hike in 2026?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.95
$0.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMAliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$8.00May 29, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$5.00May 25, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$20.00May 24, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00May 16, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill April 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$5.00May 11, 17:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.51May 3, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026$5.00May 2, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.50May 2, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.10May 2, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$2.14May 2, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.88May 2, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$2.12May 2, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$11.60May 2, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$8.33May 2, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$3.92May 2, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$4.18May 2, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$2.12May 2, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$6.08May 2, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$2.12May 2, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$2.11May 2, 16:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $15.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".