Big-Hearted-Level
0xe8e269cb010071f6dd0357a1fe2a19bb7bc86e3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$77.64
Total PnL
$-435.31
Realised
$-20.37
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.70
$0.34
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 90.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.08
$0.61
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.35
$0.16
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.01
$0.30
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.71
$0.13
- NO
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?
4 shares @ 65.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$2.40
$-0.51
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.39
$0.05
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.37
$0.37
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.24
$0.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMChirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?$4.18Jun 1, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$3.17Jun 1, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$3.28May 25, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.