Loading shell…
OtherExpires Apr 24, 2026

KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions

Probability

60¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$211.38

Liquidity

$527.16

Probability (last 7 days)

+20.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 60¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $527 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 12:55Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoResolve

    Market resolved 27h ago

    HIGH
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between LG Twins and Samsung Lions, scheduled for April 17 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "LG Twins" if the LG Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 24, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.koreabaseball.com/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).