Untried-Lilac
0xe8f348dae364517f0ee9bbeac2928460335dd930
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$80.56
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-11.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.56
$-19.44
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
4032 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
2917 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
2321 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
1766 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
1596 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-29?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
849 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
741 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$190.58May 30, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$204.02May 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets $300.00Apr 27, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$462.47Apr 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$116.22Apr 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$124.73Apr 10, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$217.39Apr 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$100.00Apr 7, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$100.00Apr 7, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$100.00Apr 7, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$100.00Apr 7, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?$2.0KApr 7, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$534.23Mar 12, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$166.79Mar 11, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?$169.61Mar 11, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$1.8KMar 11, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$500.00Mar 11, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$700.00Mar 11, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$100.00Mar 10, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?$100.00Mar 10, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $408.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".