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SportsExpires May 4, 2026

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Probability

52¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$9.6K

Liquidity

$32.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+25.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:01
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 52¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 203h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 203.0h

    LOW
  • 13:01Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 203h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 22.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 20.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 20.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 22.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 22.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Wolves” if the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets. This market will resolve to “Nuggets” if the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).