Bossy-Implication
0xe940fd6c129d1278ef470ac9a522c71cf8e0cc2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-38.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?
18631 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.08
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
6252 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-382.74
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
5172 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
3400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-16.90
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
3289 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-148.80
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
2800 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-196.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?
1864 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-177.31
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
500 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
250 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$85.71Jun 4, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$130.87May 7, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$131.88May 7, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$53.16May 2, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$9.90Apr 29, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$63.06Apr 29, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$177.69Apr 27, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$7.00Apr 23, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$184.69Apr 23, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$133.27Mar 29, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$7.79Mar 29, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$12.63Mar 29, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$12.85Mar 29, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$100.00Mar 1, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$6.62Feb 20, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.20Feb 20, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$7.12Feb 20, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$72.00Feb 20, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$110.00Feb 19, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.10Feb 10, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $38.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.