Instructive-Carabao
0xe964e8081394f98744a50d85e9f04f9c89572e7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$50.18
Total PnL
$-188.03
Realised
$-6.19
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
192 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.20
$-4.32
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
180 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.31
$-0.09
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.20
$0.51
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.18
$0.22
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.17
$0.25
- NO
Will Solana reach $90 in June?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.16
$0.36
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.04
$0.12
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.96
$-0.03
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$0.02
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.70Jun 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.70Jun 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.41Jun 8, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.40Jun 8, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.41Jun 8, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.44Jun 8, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.44Jun 8, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.44Jun 8, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.63Jun 8, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.65Jun 8, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.01Jun 8, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.01Jun 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.01Jun 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.62Jun 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.62Jun 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.62Jun 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.62Jun 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.62Jun 8, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?$5.77Jun 7, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.25Jun 6, 04:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.