Mad-Total
0xe97637fa36a5a5004484b828c3cec956817071e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$2.86
Total PnL
$-134.06
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET
8912 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.91
- SUNRISERS HYDERABAD
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.02Jul 29, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$0.92Jul 29, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$1.00Jul 28, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Tanzania$1.49Jul 28, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Tanzania$1.02Jul 27, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$0.95Jul 27, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$1.01Jul 26, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 26?$1.06Jul 26, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 26?$1.00Jul 25, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$0.97Jul 25, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$1.00Jul 24, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1.09Jul 24, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 23, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?$0.93Jul 23, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?$1.01Jul 22, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$1.52Jul 22, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$1.02Jul 21, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 28 be between 86 and 89?$0.03Jul 21, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 20?$1.15Jul 21, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 20?$1.01Jul 20, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.