Silly-Discourse
0xe9ca72f48e690cc05430379598158cfbc24b1763
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-258.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
625 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$565.63
$65.63
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
330 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$317.64
$17.64
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
321 shares @ 93.4¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$304.43
$4.43
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$173.24
$73.24
- YES
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
200 shares @ 63.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$98.00
$-28.00
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
166 shares @ 60.4¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.32
$-61.68
- NO
UK Recession in 2026?
46 shares @ 68.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$25.41
$-6.01
- NO
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
33 shares @ 60.1¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$12.85
$-7.03
- YES
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
38 shares @ 30.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$8.12
$-3.21
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$300.74Jun 12, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$400.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$359.52Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$100.00Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$207.61Jun 12, 09:17 UTC
- REWARD$1.24Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$288.00Jun 4, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$33.70May 31, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$92.30May 31, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$21.00May 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$29.58May 31, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$56.99May 31, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$63.93May 31, 09:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.59May 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Recession in 2026?$2.13May 30, 14:31 UTC
- REWARD$1.42May 30, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.69May 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$76.73May 28, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Recession in 2026?$10.63May 28, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Recession in 2026?$10.63May 28, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $111.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.