Alarmed-Tunic

• YES

  Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

  7 shares @ 29.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $6.78

  $4.78

• NO

  US forces enter Iran by March 31?

  4 shares @ 53.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026

  $4.09

  $1.90

• YES

  Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

  3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026

  $2.56

  $0.56

• YES

  Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

  2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026

  $2.47

  $0.47

• NO

  US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

  2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $2.30

  $0.30

• NO

  Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?

  2 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026

  $2.15

  $0.15

• NO

  Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

  2 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026

  $2.11

  $0.11

• YES

  Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?

  3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026

  $0.00

  $-2.00

• YES

  Government shutdown on Saturday?

  2 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026

  $0.00

  $-0.43

• TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.48Apr 29, 06:26 UTC
• TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by June 30?$2.26Apr 22, 17:11 UTC
• TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$1.67Apr 22, 16:59 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$2.33Apr 21, 23:28 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$2.00Apr 21, 21:42 UTC
• TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.55Apr 18, 16:05 UTC
• TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1.57Apr 18, 15:21 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$2.00Apr 18, 13:19 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 18, 12:50 UTC
• TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.70Apr 17, 20:36 UTC
• TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.45Apr 17, 16:33 UTC
• TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.00Apr 17, 15:30 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.33Apr 17, 14:42 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.27Apr 17, 14:42 UTC
• TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Apr 17, 13:16 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.57Apr 12, 02:42 UTC
• TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.81Apr 11, 19:21 UTC
• TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1.57Apr 11, 19:11 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.00Apr 11, 17:04 UTC
• TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$2.00Apr 11, 11:51 UTC

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.