Extraneous-Caftan
0xeacbe65019cd78ded856e22e534599a74f8fbf4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-100.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 9, 2026?
422 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?
255 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?
89 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)
24 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jan 22, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$120.69Jan 21, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$68.99Jan 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?$66.31Jan 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$24.00Jan 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?$7.08Jan 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$1.00Jan 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$0.83Jan 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?$2.33Jan 21, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?$2.70Jan 21, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$85.00Jan 21, 19:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 21, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 20, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$100.00Jan 19, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?$50.00Jan 19, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?$50.00Jan 19, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$406.86Jan 19, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$112.95Jan 19, 13:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 19, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 18, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $60.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 00:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".